Thursday, October 22, 2026Free · Data and analysis · No picks
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NFL Week 7 · Lead analysis

Washington's pass rush faded after the bye. Chicago's quick game made it disappear.

The Commanders' pressure rate fell from 38% to 29% after Week 5. On Sunday the Bears got the ball out in 2.4 seconds and won 24–20. Here's what the numbers show.

By Brian Tait · 9:12 AM ET · 6 min read · figures are sample data

Chicago averaged 2.4 seconds to throw, the third-fastest mark of the week, and Washington finished with one sack on 38 dropbacks. The game turned where expected-points models said it would: Chicago went 7 for 13 on third down, mostly on throws of under 8 air yards. Washington ran for 5.1 yards a carry but called only 21 runs.

The market moved too. Chicago opened +2.5 and closed +3; the Bears won outright by 4.

Full box score & line history

Scoreboard

Final scores · Sample data
MLB · Oct 21
LAD1NYY2Final · WS G1
NBA · Oct 21
NYK112BOS109FinalLAL101PHX118FinalMIL104MIA107Final/OT
NHL · Oct 21
EDM4VAN2FinalNYR2NJD3Final/OT
NFL · Oct 19
TB17DET27Final · MNFHOU20SEA24Final · MNFCIN21LAR50Final

Today in sports history

More dates

October 22

  1. 1975MLBCincinnati wins Game 7 at Fenway Park, 4–3, for the Big Red Machine's first of two straight titles. Source
  2. 2016MLBThe Cubs beat the Dodgers in Game 6 of the NLCS to win their first pennant since 1945. Source
  3. 1973MLBIchiro Suzuki, later a 10-time All-Star and Hall of Famer, is born in Kasugai, Japan. Source

Real events, each linked to its source. Picked by your local date.

Today's slate

Lines are market consensus, shown for context only
Today's slate
When (ET)LgGameLine (home)TotalWeatherInjuries
Tonight 7:00 PMNBAMIL @ INDIND −3.5229IndoorIND: T. Haliburton probable
Tonight 7:30 PMNBABOS @ PHIPHI −1221.5IndoorPHI: J. Embiid questionable (knee)
Tonight 8:08 PMMLBLAD @ NYY WS G2NYY −1187.549°F, wind 11 mph out to RF—
Tonight 10:00 PMNHLEDM @ SEASEA +1.56IndoorSEA: M. Beniers out
Sun 1:00 PMNFLNYG @ PHIPHI −74358°F, wind 7 mph, 40% rainNYG: M. Nabers limited (Wed practice)
Sun 1:00 PMNFLWAS @ BALBAL −5.54857°F, wind 16 mph NWBAL: M. Humphrey DNP (Wed practice)
Oct 22 · NBA◷ 7:00 PM
Line IND −3.5 · total 229 · Indoor
Oct 22 · NBA◷ 7:30 PM
Line PHI −1 · total 221.5 · Indoor
Oct 22 · MLB · WS G2◷ 8:08 PM
Line NYY −1.5 · total 7.5 · 49°F, wind 11 mph out to RF
Oct 22 · NHL◷ 10:00 PM
Line SEA +1.5 · total 6 · Indoor
Oct 25 · NFL◷ 1:00 PM
Line PHI −7 · total 43 · 58°F, wind 7 mph, 40% rain
Oct 25 · NFL◷ 1:00 PM
Line BAL −5.5 · total 48 · 57°F, wind 16 mph NW

Numbers that mattered

Numbers that mattered
StatValueContext
PHX vs LAL, 4th quarter34–15Suns pulled away from 84–86
CHI time to throw, Wk 72.4 s3rd-fastest in NFL
LAL–PHX total move+2.0228.5 open → 230.5 close; finished 219
LAD G2 starter, 3rd time through.340 wOBApostseason, sample figure
NFL overs, Wk 1–739.2%vs. closing totals (sample data)

Last night vs. the close

Explore all results
Last night versus the closing line
GameFinalCloseATSO/U
LAD @ NYY1–2NYY −1.5 · 7.5LAD covered▼ UNDER
NYK @ BOS112–109BOS −5.5 · 218NYK coveredW
LAL @ PHX101–118PHX −3 · 230.5PHX covered▼ UNDER
MIL @ MIA104–107MIA −2 · 223.5MIA covered▼ UNDER
EDM @ VAN4–2VAN +1.5 · 6.5EDM covered▼ UNDER
NYR @ NJD2–3NJD −1.5 · 6NYR covered▼ UNDER

The newsletter

Every morning: last night's numbers, today's slate.

  • Scores and box-score context
  • Line movement and closing numbers, explained
  • Injuries and weather that move games